dimarts, 26 de març de 2013

Ratio-to-Moving-Average Forecast Method


In this lesson I've learnt how we can reckon a forecast by coming up with good forecast of quarterly seasonal index. A lot of companies can have seasonal patterns which explains the behavior of the variable we are analyzing, for instance revenues, cost of supplies...; consequently, if we have a method that breaks down in different index which it allows us to understand this pattern; our forecast will be accurate, and we could make our forecast with more precision.

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